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ACADIA REALTY TRUST (AKR)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2025 delivered strong top-line and FFO: total revenues rose 14.6% year over year to $104.4M, GAAP diluted EPS was $0.01, and NAREIT FFO/share was $0.34, up from $0.28 in Q1 2024 .
- Consensus vs. actual: revenue beat ($102.8M actual vs $90.7M consensus*) and NAREIT FFO/share beat ($0.34 actual vs $0.325*), while GAAP EPS missed ($0.004* vs $0.075*), reflecting non-cash change-in-control accounting and timing items (Albertsons unrealized gain inclusion policy) . Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- Guidance raised for FY 2025 FFO and FFO Before Special Items; GAAP EPS guidance lowered on non-cash items (impairment and change-in-control) but operating trajectory intact; same-property NOI growth reaffirmed at 5–6% .
- Street portfolio remains primary growth engine: same-property NOI +6.8% for street assets, 71% GAAP / 59% cash new lease spreads, and SNO pipeline increased to ~$8.9M (≈6% of ABR) .
- Balance sheet and external growth catalysts: ~$373M YTD acquisitions, net debt/EBITDA 5.7x, dividend maintained at $0.20 per share (Q2 declaration) .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Street portfolio drove internal growth: street same-property NOI +6.8% in Q1; total same-property NOI +4.1% with full-year 5–6% reaffirmed .
- Pricing power and leasing momentum: GAAP/cash new lease spreads of 71%/59% in Q1 (Georgetown M Street achieved 74% cash spreads on two leases); SNO pipeline rose to ~$8.9M ABR (≈6% of in-place rents) .
- Accretive external growth and scale-building: ~$373M YTD acquisitions across SoHo, Williamsburg, Georgetown, and Flatiron/Union Square; strategic IM acquisition of Pinewood Square (FL) with planned pad spin-offs . CEO: “our street portfolio continues to be the key contributor to our internal growth…we continue to deploy capital in a disciplined manner” .
What Went Wrong
- GAAP EPS optics pressured by non-cash and transactional items: Q1 net income/share $0.01 included ~$9.6M non-cash change-in-control charge related to Georgetown Renaissance remeasurement .
- Core occupancy dipped sequentially: leased 95.5% (−30 bps) and occupied 91.7% (−140 bps) vs. 95.8%/93.1% at YE 2024, driven by an anticipated suburban anchor expiration; re-leased with commencement expected Q3 2025 .
- Guidance for GAAP EPS lowered due to non-cash items (impairment and change-in-control), despite raising FFO guidance; realized gains/promotes range trimmed at the top end (0.11–0.14 from 0.11–0.15) .
Financial Results
Operating KPIs (chronological):
- Same-Property NOI Growth (%): Q3 2024: 5.9% ; Q4 2024: 5.7% ; Q1 2025: 4.1% .
- Leasing Spreads (New Leases): Q1 2025 GAAP 71%, Cash 59% .
- Leased/Occupied (Core Portfolio, period end): Q4 2024: 95.8% / 93.1% ; Q1 2025: 95.5% / 91.7% .
- SNO Pipeline: Q4 2024: ~$7.7M ABR (~5.1% of in-place rents) ; Q1 2025: ~$8.9M ABR (~6%) .
Consensus vs. Actual (Q1 2025) — Values retrieved from S&P Global:
Guidance Changes
Notes to guidance drivers: Revised GAAP EPS incorporates non-cash impairment ($0.01/share) and change-in-control ($0.08/share); unrealized mark-to-market gain (Albertsons) of $(0.01) reflected; share count effects from forward equity .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO on internal growth and disciplined capital deployment: “Our street portfolio continues to be the key contributor to our internal growth…we continue to deploy capital in a disciplined manner, completing approximately $375 million year-to-date in accretive acquisitions” .
- CFO on cadence and 2025/2026 drivers: targeting Q2 FFO $0.32–$0.34 and Q3/Q4 $0.34–$0.36 as acquisitions accrete and SNO commencements ramp; ~$9M core SNO ABR, ~$6M redevelopment SNO ABR, with ~$4M recognized in 2025 and $5M in 2026 .
- SVP Leasing on corridor scale and demand: robust leasing pipeline (> $6M ABR in advanced negotiations), strong YoY sales across core streets, with notable leasing spreads and merchandising upgrades (e.g., Richemont brand in SoHo) .
Q&A Highlights
- Tariffs/macro: Management frames recent volatility as policy-driven, not akin to GFC; expects fewer “tourists” in street buying; focus remains mission-critical corridors .
- Leasing velocity: No noticeable slowdown post-April; tenants continue decisions, reflecting healthy margins and resilient affluent consumers .
- Mark-to-market in Williamsburg: Market rents “multiples” above in-place ABR (~$123/psf cited in question), suggesting embedded uplift over time .
- Investment management appetite: Institutional partners seek qualified retail operators; platform positioned to deploy high-teens IRR capital where appropriate .
- Occupancy: Short-term dip driven by suburban anchor expiration already re-leased; year-end physical occupancy guide 94–95% .
Estimates Context
- Revenue: $90.7M consensus* vs. $102.8M actual — beat. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- GAAP EPS: $0.075 consensus* vs. $0.01 actual — miss (non-cash change-in-control and timing items). Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- FFO/share (REIT): $0.325 consensus* vs. $0.34 actual — beat. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- Analyst coverage count: EPS (5), revenue (3) for Q1 2025*. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Street-led internal growth continues: outsized leasing spreads, double-digit street sales, and increased SNO underpin multi-year NOI growth (2025 5–6% reaffirmed; 2026 target 5%+ noted) .
- Quality external growth at scale: ~$373M YTD core/IM acquisitions in must-have corridors (SoHo, Georgetown, Williamsburg, Flatiron), with favorable mark-to-market optionality .
- Balance sheet optionality: Net debt/EBITDA 5.7x and untapped revolver/forward equity provide dry powder to navigate macro volatility and fund accretive deals .
- Near-term trading lens: FFO beats vs. consensus and raised FFO guidance are positive catalysts; GAAP EPS optics reflect non-cash items rather than operating softness .
- Occupancy trajectory: Temporary Q1 dip should reverse with Q3 commencements; watch H2 ramp as SNO flows through and suburban backfills start .
- Watchlist items: Execution on >$6M ABR leasing in advanced stages, pad spin-offs at Pinewood Square, and continued corridor curation/upgrades (e.g., SoHo, M Street) .
- Dividend: $0.20/share declared for Q2 2025 supports income thesis alongside improving FFO trajectory .
Additional Details and Data
Segment and KPI snapshot:
- Core Portfolio: Core NOI $36.7M vs. $36.0M in Q1 2024; same-property revenues $47.6M, expenses $13.8M, same-property NOI $33.8M (+4.1%) .
- Non-GAAP reconciliations: FFO Before Special Items $43.4M ($0.34/share); excludes unrealized holdings; no realized gains in Q1 2025; Whole Foods termination/rent payments (~$8.0M; $0.06/share) included in Net Income, NAREIT FFO and FFO Before Special Items; excluded from same-property NOI .
- Balance sheet: Total assets $4.736B; consolidated debt $1.635B; total equity $2.763B; marketable securities $16.5M (Albertsons exposure) .
- Debt profile: No significant core debt maturities until 2028; swap notional ~$884M, WA fixed SOFR ~3.0% .
Other relevant Q1 2025 press releases:
- Quarterly dividend: Board declared $0.20 per share dividend payable July 15, 2025 (record date June 30, 2025) .
Prior quarters for trend:
- Q4 2024: Revenues $93.3M; GAAP EPS $0.07; NAREIT FFO/share $0.30; FFO Before Special Items/share $0.32; same-property NOI +5.7%; dividend increased to $0.20 (Q1 2025) .
- Q3 2024: Revenues $87.7M; GAAP EPS $0.07; NAREIT FFO/share $0.28; FFO Before Special Items/share $0.32; same-property NOI +5.9%; SNO ~$10M ABR (~7% of in-place rents) .
Earnings call quotes (attribution):
- “We achieved 6.8% same-store growth from our street retail portfolio…signed new leases at cash spreads in excess of 50%” (CFO) .
- “Double-digit sales growth on average across key street markets…our shopper continues to spend” (SVP Leasing) .
- “Low 6s GAAP yield…5-year CAGR in excess of 5%” (CIO, year-to-date acquisitions) .
- “We have both the liquidity and balance sheet flexibility…dry powder on call to fund our external growth strategy” (CFO) .
Estimates disclaimer: Values retrieved from S&P Global.*